The HOP Optimisation Protocol
The worked scenarios that the framework's eight scenarios + the V6 Convergence describe.

Bees · Scenarios

Bees for Honey · Scenarios

The scenarios the Paying the Bees for Honey framework names. Each scenario is a specific configuration the framework predicts could obtain. Scenarios accumulate across versions; the math in any version interprets the scenarios differently.

The Wizard is the framework’s aspirational scenario (v1, refined throughout). The Symbiosis is the convergent scenario where the protocol and an H4-aligned ASI both stand up. The Commons is the thermodynamic-equilibrium scenario where AI joins the un-priced substrate. The Drift is the diagnostic scenario — what happens if nothing intervenes. The Debt is the present-tense scenario — what the flywheel produces in the meantime. The V6 Convergence is the honest baseline — not one of the heavy scenarios but all of them, running simultaneously in different layers.

scenario added in role
The Wizard v1 aspirational: HOP stands up, chains carry the commons
The Symbiosis v1 (refined in v6) convergent: H4 ASI + protocol both arrive
The Commons v1 thermodynamic: AI joins the 99% commons by structural necessity
The Drift v3 (priced in v6) diagnostic: 60% probability, digital feudalism
The Debt v3 (refined in v6) present-tense: Λ1 subsidy holds the cap table up
The V6 Convergence v6 honest baseline: all three heavy scenarios in different layers simultaneously

Three v1-era scenarios (Quarantine, Garden, Murmuration) are listed in the v1 framework file but don’t yet have dedicated scenario files here. They will follow.

  1. commonsThe Commons
  2. debtThe Debt
  3. driftThe Drift
  4. symbiosiThe Symbiosis
  5. v6-conveThe V6 Convergence
  6. wizardThe Wizard